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Thread: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

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    72 SkaterMcgee's Avatar
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    Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    I found this article at rasmussenreports.com and thought that it was rather interesting, especially the first part, I dont know if you guys are interested in it but I thought id post it anyway. And if you dont want to read it here, here is the link that I pulled it from.



    Friday, August 20, 2010


    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-four percent (44%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19 (see trends).

    If Israel attacks Iran, 51% of voters say the U.S. should help Israel. Two percent (2%) say the U.S. should help Iran and 35% say the U.S. should do nothing.

    Eighty-two percent (82%) believe that voters should be required to show photo ID before voting.

    Yesterday’s negative news on employment confirms data released earlier this month as the Rasmussen Employment Index showed confidence in the labor market has fallen to the lowest level since January.

    Platinum Members can review the president’s ratings on the economy, national security and other issues. They also get a sneak peek at upcoming data.

    The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook.

    Overall, 45% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's performance. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove.

    A commentary by Howard Rich looks at a “disturbing hypocrisy emerging from within the ‘establishment’ wing of the Republican Party lately – a belief that it’s okay to work against fiscal conservatives who garner the support of the vast majority of GOP voters.”

    For an Election 2010 overview, visit the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Balance of Power Senate summary and our Gubernatorial Scorecard. New polling has been released this morning from Arkansas and Wyoming.

    Scott Rasmussen and Doug Schoen have written a new book, MAD AS HELL: How the Tea Party Movement Is Fundamentally Remaking Our Two-Party System . The Harper-Collins publication can be pre-ordered at Amazon.com, Barnes and Noble, Borders, and other outlets.



    A Rasmussen video report shows that voters hate Congressional incumbents and they aren’t wild about their own representative either.

    Other data shows that just 22% believe Members of Congress care what their constituents think. Sixty percent (60%) disagree. Seventy-one percent (71%) say purpose of town hall meetings is for Members of Congress to listen, not speak.

    Just 37% of voters believe their own representative in Congress deserves to be re-elected. Thirty-nine percent disagree. Just 27% say their own representative is the best person for the job. Overall, 62% say it would be better for the country if most incumbents are defeated in November. Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters are angry at the policies of the federal government.

    In a book released earlier this year, Scott Rasmussen observes that, "The gap between Americans who want to govern themselves and politicians who want to rule over them may be as big today as the gap between the colonies and England during the 18th century." In Search of Self-Governance is available at Rasmussen Reports and Amazon.com.

    If you'd like Scott to speak at your conference or event, contact Premiere Speakers Bureau.

    Scott has published several recent Wall Street Journal columns including "Why Obama Can't Move the Health Care Numbers" and how Obama won the White House by campaigning like Ronald Reagan. He has also written an overview of the health care reform debate, a look at how President Obama is losing independent voters, and was the first to note the decline in the president's approval ratings.

    You can also learn about Scott's favorite place on earth and his time working with hockey legend Gordie Howe.

    The Rasmussen Reports Media Meter shows that media coverage of President Obama has been 52% positive over the past week.

    It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama's numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. It is also important to check the details of question wording when comparing approval ratings from different firms.



    Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our "unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy."

    The Pew Center noted that Rasmussen Reports beat traditional media in covering Scott Brown's upset win in Massachusetts earlier this year: "It was polling-not journalistic reporting-that caught the wave in the race to succeed Massachusetts Senator Edward M. Kennedy." Rasmussen Reports was also the first to show Joe Sestak catching Arlen Specter in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary race this year.

    In the 2009 New Jersey Governor's race, automated polls tended to be more accurate than operator-assisted polling techniques. On reviewing the state polling results from 2009, Mickey Kaus offered this assessment, "If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y. Times, go with Rasmussen!"

    In 2008, Obama won 53%-46% and our final poll showed Obama winning 52% to 46%. While we were pleased with the final result, Rasmussen Reports was especially pleased with the stability of our results. On every single day for the last six weeks of the campaign, our daily tracking showed Obama with a stable and solid lead attracting more than 50% of the vote.

    We also have provided a summary of our 2008 state-by-state presidential results for your review.

    In 2004 George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while John Kerry earned 48.3%. Rasmussen Reports polling projected that Bush would win 50.2% to 48.5%. We were the only firm to project both candidates' totals within half a percentage point by (see our 2004 results).

    See also our 2008 state results for Senate and governor.

    See 2006 results for Senate and Governor.

    Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error-for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters--is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.

    Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large (see methodology). Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Since the November 2008 election, the number of Democrats in the country has declined while the number of unaffiliated voters has grown.

    Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 35.3% Democrats, 32.3% Republicans, and 32.4% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly smaller advantage for the Democrats.

    A review of last week's key polls is posted each Saturday morning.

    Other stats on Obama are updated daily on the Rasmussen Reports By The Numbers page.

    We also invite you to review other recent demographic highlights from the tracking polls. To get a sense of longer-term trends, check out our month-by-month review of the president's numbers.
    His Holiness, Randy Marsh - "If we're still alive in the morning... then we'll know we're not dead..."

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    Forum Guru Dave68124's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    Here you go. Read this article. Helps explain why his Presidency is in the dumbster. However, this is really no surprise to many.

    http://spectator.org/archives/2010/0...ant-presidency

    Remember when Christopher Buckley endorsed Barack Obama? Let's revisit.

    The son of the late William F. Buckley, the founder of National Review, wrote in October 2008, "As for Senator Obama: He has exhibited throughout a "first-class temperament."

    Yet now nearly nineteen months into Obama's presidency there is scant evidence of that "first-class temperament" to which Buckley refers. If Obama's term in office thus far can be summed up with a single word I would choose petulant. Merriam-Webster defines petulant as "insolent or rude in speech or behavior"; "characterized by temporary or capricious ill humor." This fits Obama to a tee.

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    Star Spangeled Spud Tater's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by Dave68124 View Post
    Here you go. Read this article. Helps explain why his Presidency is in the dumbster. However, this is really no surprise to many.

    http://spectator.org/archives/2010/0...ant-presidency
    I think it grows clearer and clearer everyday...Obama was not ready for prime time.
    Later - Tater
    Beware "The Star Spangled Spud!"
    CH! = 3rd Edition Is The Charm

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    72 SkaterMcgee's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    I liked him better than John McCain when the campaigning was going on but now I am starting to not like Obama more and more just about everyday. I really wonder if John McCain would have done better.
    His Holiness, Randy Marsh - "If we're still alive in the morning... then we'll know we're not dead..."

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    Forum Guru Fort's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by SkaterMcgee View Post
    I liked him better than John McCain when the campaigning was going on but now I am starting to not like Obama more and more just about everyday. I really wonder if John McCain would have done better.
    I don't think he could've done worse...however the press would've excoriated him for everything they are given Obama a pass on, with the end result not being the coming congressional turnover.

    A wise friend once said he wanted to make a T-shirt saying:

    "Obama '08...because Carter begat Reagan"

    I wish I had had one made.
    “You’re never beaten until you admit it.”- George Patton

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    Forum Guru Sparafucil3's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by Fort View Post
    A wise friend once said he wanted to make a T-shirt saying:

    "Obama '08...because Carter begat Reagan"
    I wouldn't call me wise, but I do hope I am prophetic -- jim
    This is all a dream we dreamed one afternoon long ago

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    Chief Defender of the Faith ADMIN Dr Zaius's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    Which is precious little to be truly excited about. Even if the Republicans win huge, they will unable to reverse the destructive legislation that has been put into place. It would take years of Republican dominance -- which is highly unlikely as a result of just one election -- just to get back to where we were.

    It's hard to get excited about that.
    "I have always known about man. From the evidence, I believe his wisdom must walk hand and hand with his idiocy. His emotions must rule his brain. He must be a warlike creature who gives battle to everything around him, even himself." - Dr. Zaius

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    Forum Guru Sparafucil3's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by Don Maddox View Post
    Which is precious little to be truly excited about. Even if the Republicans win huge, they will unable to reverse the destructive legislation that has been put into place. It would take years of Republican dominance -- which is highly unlikely as a result of just one election -- just to get back to where we were.

    It's hard to get excited about that.
    Neither side is going to ever make us better. It seems like its about who is going to make us worse more slowly. I have hope if the Tea Party mentality becomes more the norm but I doubt it will happen. I think the nation will have to hit bottom just like any other drunk first. -- jim
    This is all a dream we dreamed one afternoon long ago

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    Charles Munch -The Scream Sand Bar Bill's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    I'm still totally fine with Obama being President over McCain. John is busy fighting for his political life in the primary for not being conservative enough though. So maybe that is something in his favor.

    http://www.newsweek.com/2010/04/02/t...in-mutiny.html

    for his three decades in Congress, McCain hadn't gone with the flow enough, at least not enough to satisfy many Arizona Republicans. Why else would his rival, former congressman J.D. Hayworth, be billing himself as "the consistent conservative"? Many of the GOP's most faithful, the kind who vote in primaries despite 115-degree heat, tired long ago of McCain the Maverick, the man who had crossed the aisle to work with Democrats on issues like immigration reform, global warming, and restricting campaign contributions. "Maverick" is a mantle McCain no longer claims; in fact, he now denies he ever was one. "I never considered myself a maverick," he told me. "I consider myself a person who serves the people of Arizona to the best of his abilities." Yet here was Palin, urging her fans four times in 15 minutes to send McCain the Maverick back to Washington.

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    Star Spangeled Spud Tater's Avatar
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    Re: Obama Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by Sand Bar Bill View Post
    I'm still totally fine with Obama being President over McCain.
    Really...me, I couldn't tell much difference between them.

    My hope for 2012 is that, this time, the GOP will pick their candidate instead of the libtard run media.
    Later - Tater
    Beware "The Star Spangled Spud!"
    CH! = 3rd Edition Is The Charm

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